| 张盉儆,康 健,张亚晴.陕西省农业面源污染与农业经济发展关系实证研究[J].林业调查规划,2023,48(3):143-147 |
| 陕西省农业面源污染与农业经济发展关系实证研究 |
| Empirical Study on Relationship between Agricultural Non-point Source Pollution and Agricultural Economic Development in Shaanxi Province |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 农业面源污染 农业经济发展 库兹涅茨曲线 陕西省 |
| 英文关键词: agricultural non-point source pollution agricultural economy development Kuznets curve Shaanxi Province |
| 基金项目:陕西省教育厅哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目（20JZ004）；陕西省教育厅项目（21JK0002）；安康市科技局项目（AK2021-SF-03） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 选用2009—2020年陕西省统计年鉴相关数据，基于库兹涅茨曲线进一步实证分析陕西省农业面源污染与农业经济增长的关系。结果表明，化肥、农用塑料薄膜和农药面源污染与农业人均收入符合EKC曲线的拟合结果，并得出陕西省农业面源污染并未达到拐点，农业经济发展和农业面源污染还存在同步增长的趋势，但其总磷、总氮排放量及污染占比均大幅下降，说明通过现代农业生产方式转型、政府环境政策干预力度加强、农业面源污染检测水平提升、农户环境保护意识提高等会使拐点提前达到，并很快进入反向的发展阶段。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the relevant data of Shaanxi Statistical Yearbook 〖STBX〗2009—2020〖WTBZ〗, this paper further empirically analyzed the relationship between agricultural non-point source pollution and agricultural economic growth in Shaanxi Province with the Kuznets curve. The results showed that the non-point source pollution of chemical fertilizers, agricultural plastic films and pesticides and the per capita income of agriculture were in line with the fitting results of the EKC curve, and the agricultural non-point source pollution in Shaanxi Province had not reached the turning point, and the agricultural economic development and agricultural non-point source pollution were still synchronized. However, the proportion of total phosphorus and total nitrogen emissions and pollution had dropped significantly, indicating that the transformation of modern agricultural production methods, the strengthening of government environmental policy interventions, the improvement of the detection level and the improvement of farmers′ awareness of environmental protection would make the turning point reach ahead of schedule and quickly enter enter the reverse development stage. |
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